Quantifying energy not served in power capacity expansion planning with intermittent sustainable technologies
Abstract
In this work, estimations are made of the energy not served (ENS) in a power capacity expansion problem in the case ofintegration of intermittent sustainable technologies. For this purpose, part of the power generation system of the UnitedArab Emirates (UAE) is examined. Five capacity expansion scenarios using sustainable power generation technologiesare investigated, including the integration of carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies and solar-based powergeneration systems (intermittent systems as well as dispatchable systems using thermal storage), and compared withthe business as usual scenario (BAU) for various natural gas prices. Based on the input data and assumptions made,the results indicate that the BAU scenario is the least cost option. However, if the UAE move towards the use ofsustainable power generation technologies in order to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, the most suitable alternativetechnologies are: (i) natural gas combined cycle technology integrated with CCS systems, and (ii) concentrated solarpower systems with 24/7 operation. The other candidate sustainable technologies have a considerable adverse impacton system reliability since their dispatchability is marginal, leading to power interruptions and thus high ENS cost.References
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[2] Burdic B. (2008). Photovoltaic cells. Environmental Design and Construction, 11(10), 32.
[3] Fan, L., Norman, C.S., Patt, A.G. (2012). Electricity Capacity investment under risk eversion: A case study of coal, gas and concentrated solar power. Energy Economics, 34, 54-61.
[4] Feldhoff J.F., Schmitz K., Eck M., Schnatbaum-Laumann L., Laing D., Ortiz-Vives F., Schulte-Fischedick J. (2012). Comparative system analysis of direct steam generation and synthetic oil parabolic trough power plants with integrated thermal storage. Solar Energy, 86(1), 520-530.
[5] Garcia, G.O., Dougles, P., Croiset E., Zheng L. (2006). Techno-economic evaluation of IGCC power plants for CO2 avoidance. Energy Conversion and Management, 47, 2250–2259.
[6] http://www.sewa.gov.ae
[7] Islam M.D., Alili, A.A., Kubo, I., Ohadi, M. (2010). Measurement of solar-energy (direct beam radiation) in Abu Dhabi, UAE. Renewable Energy, 35(2), 515-519.
[8] Madaeni S.H., Sioshansi R. (2012). How thermal energy storage enhances the economic viability of concentrating solar power. Proceedings of the IEEE, 100(2), 335-347.
[9] Poullikas, A. (2009). The cost of integration of zero emission power plants - A case study for the island of Cyprus. Energy Policy, 37(2), 669-679.
[10] Poullikkas A., Gadalla M. (2013). Assessment of solar electricity production in United Arab Emirates. International Journal of Sustainable Energy, 32, 631–642.
[11] Poullikkas, A. (2009). Introduction to power generation technologies. New York: NOVA Science Publishers, Inc.
[12] Poullikkas, A. (2009). Parametric cost-benefit analysis for the installation of photovoltaic parks in the island of Cyprus. Energy Policy, 37, 3673-3680.
[13] Poullikkas, A., Hadjipaschalis, I., & Kourtis, G. (2010). The cost of integration of parabolic trough CSP plants in isolated Mediterranean power systems. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 14, 1469–1476.
[14] Poullikkas, A., Kourtis, G., & Hadjipaschalis, I. (2011). A hybrid model for the optimum integration of renewable technologies in power generation systems. Energy Policy, 39, 926-935.
[15] Rai V., Victor V.G., Thurber M.C. (2010). Carbon capture and storage at scale: Lessons from the growth of analogous energy technologies. Energy Policy, 38(8), 4089-4098.
[16] Short W., Blair N., Sullivan P., Mai, T. (2009). ReEDS model documentation: Base case data and model description. National Renewable Energy Laboratory. Golden: National Renewable Energy Laboratory.
[17] Tsoutsos T., Gekas V., Marketaki K. (2003). Technical and economical evaluation of solar thermal power generation. Renewable Energy, 28(6), 873-886.
[18] Wien Automatic System Planning (WASP) Package: A Computer Code for Power Generating System Expansion Planning Version WASP-IV with User Interface User’s Manual, 2006, International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna.
Published
2014-12-23
How to Cite
POULLIKKAS, Andreas.
Quantifying energy not served in power capacity expansion planning with intermittent sustainable technologies.
Journal of Power Technologies, [S.l.], v. 95, n. 1, p. 25--33, dec. 2014.
ISSN 2083-4195.
Available at: <https://papers.itc.pw.edu.pl/index.php/JPT/article/view/544>. Date accessed: 22 dec. 2024.
Issue
Section
Policy, Economy and Society
Keywords
energy not served; power system reliability; power economics; generation expansion planning; cost of electricity
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